NBA Bets & DFS: Kawhi Leonard A DraftKings Anchor

Yesterday’s Punt: The Milwaukee Bucks were poor from beyond the arc yesterday which all but ruled out Brook Lopez hitting over the 13.5 points we were after. 

He finished with eight points on 3-10 shooting. 

NBA Bets

With only four games on the NBA slate, there isn’t much to pick from.

The Raptors and Trail Blazers are big favourites over the Magic and Knicks but neither the money line nor the point spread are of much interest.

It feels like a ‘no bet’ sort of day, although, the 9.8% edge Betfair’s NBA Prediction Model has identified on the Clippers money line against the dysfunctional and in-fighting Wizards appeals. 

It’s currently available to back at $1.94; considerably longer than it’s rated price of $1.63.

With so many games on tomorrow ahead of Thanksgiving, it’s might be better to save the stake. However, if you’re desperate to get something down, Clippers to win is where to go.

Tip: Clippers ML

DFS: Draft Kings (cash)

With far less to choose from, it’s important to hit on at least one of the big players to anchor you cash lineup/s.

We’re looking for consistency to cash-in on DraftKings today and it’s in Kawhi Leonard that we find it.

He’s produced within a standard deviation of his expected points based of historical scoring and pricing in 80% the games he’s played over the last month. The game he failed most in reaching his projected total came in Toronto’s blowout of the Knicks in which he only played 23:15 minutes.

Fantasy Labs Lineup Builder

At the nice price of $9,500 for his projected total of 43.7 DK points, we can look to the riskier and higher rated options on the slate to fill the roster.

Nikola Vucevic is a strong option at $8,300. He’s cracked 50+ DK points in each of his last three games. However, the Raptors give up the sixth-fewest points per game in the NBA to opposing centers.

Another possible selection is Montrezl Harrell. He has been outstanding this season and at $6,600 with a projected total of 36.6 points, can act as a decent mid-tier pick up despite playing the second night of a back-to-back.

For a riskier pick, Hassan Whiteside at $8,000 takes the cake. He’s up against a Nets front court that has given up points and rebounds all season. No team in the league give up more to opposing centers than their 20.2 rebounds and 28.5 points per game.

The risk comes in his minutes and foul trouble. With or without fouls to his name, Erik Spoelstra doesn’t have a problem with sitting Whiteside if that’s what the style of the game determines. The total minutes in his last six games tell the story: 26:40, 28:34, 21:39, 34:30, 33:27.

Remember to gamble responsibly with a fixed Bankroll Management system.


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